UFC, NFL, and other matches going on around the world – this is Clay’s top 3 bets of the week and Bobby’s top 3 bets of the week, for a total of 6 bets to pocket a little extra money for date night, rent, or of course… next week’s bets. With a combination of genuine interest, unparalleled knowledge, and a little something called luck, you might make you some money if you heed our (un)professional advice.
Clay’s Top 5
Georgia -2.5 vs Alabama
This week is a big one in sports, with exciting matchups in both week five of college football and week four of the NFL. It’s getting to that point of the year where you are starting to finally see what teams are made of and whether they are legit, or frauds. Most college teams are starting their in-conference games and are starting to get tested.
Which brings me to my first pick, the biggest college game of the week and possibly the game of the year. The University of Georgia comes to Tuscaloosa for a highly anticipated top five matchup versus the University of Alabama. Georgia is coming off a close 13-12 win against Kentucky, while Alabama, ranked No. 4, had a dominant 42-10 victory over Wisconsin in their last game. Both teams took the previous week off, making this game a focal point of their seasons. It is already named game of the week with College Gameday coming to town and is even attracting attention from the political world as former President Donald Trump announced he will be in attendance. These two teams have entered a rivalry in the last couple of seasons, with both teams fighting to establish themselves as the premier college football program. In the era of the college football playoff these two titans have faced 7 times with Alabama leading the series 6-1. Georgia is a 2.5 half points favorite and sits at -125 on the money line. This is the third time in the rivalry that Alabama is the underdog, and in all of those games Alabama won. With this in mind, it would seem the smart money would be with Alabama. As a lifelong Alabama fan, and a current student at the University of Alabama, it pains me to say that I am taking UGA -2.5. My bias aside I think Georgia will win, although it can either way. This is one of the rare times I hope to be wrong. Both teams are stacked with talent, both with star QBs, but I believe it will be defense that decides the game. Jalen Milore is an insane athlete, a Heisman caliber QB and impossible to gameplan for but I believe that the Bulldog defense has the best chance of any team in the country to try and minimize his huge, big play potential that he is known for. You can’t stop Milroe from running when he feels like it, but I think the Bulldog defense will try to take away the deep ball, one of Milroe’s strongest asset. Milore has no real weaknesses, but I believe the Bulldog defense taking away the big play ability along with their ability to create turnovers will be the deference in the game.
Beniot Saint Denis -270 vs. Renato Moicano
              My second pick of the week is UFC fight that might fly under the radar for most of the casual fans of the UFC, but the fight between Benoit Saint Denis and Renato Moicano will prove the be a great fight and main event for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis. Saint Denis sits a pretty big favorite at -270, but I believe he will take care of business Saturday night in Las Vegas. Both fighters are ranked in the 155-pound lightweight division, the premier and most stacked division in the UFC. Moicano sits a spot above Saint Denis at #11 in the rankings. These rankings are a true testament to how good these fighters are, to be ranked in the lightweight division is no easy task. Saint Denis is coming off a knockout loss in a title fight eliminator fight against UFC legend Dustin Porier, in a fight in which he was up on the scorecards until the knockout. Moicano is coming off an impressive knockout victory against other ranked lightweight Jalin Turner. While both fighters are very well rounded this fight will be all about the ground game. Moicano has some of the best jiu-jitsu in the UFC and Saint Denis is great wrestler. The more techinal fighter on the feet goes to Moicano, but Saint Denis is much more explosive on the feet and holds the advantage there. Moicano is going to want to take it to the ground but is going to have a hard time taking down the Saint Denis, Saint Denis on the other won’t face the same level of takedown defense form Moicano and will look to exploit that. If Saint Denis can avoid the submission threat that Moicano presents, I think Saint Denis will win by TKO.
Ole Miss -17.5 vs. Kentucky
My last pick is a lot less complicated then the other two, this pick wasn’t exactly hard for me to make and didn’t take much research at all. Ole Miss covering the 17.5 point spread feels like an easy lock to me. Everyone knows how good this Ole Miss offense is, and they have crushed the spread in every game this season. Kentucky is coming nail biting 13-12 loss to Georgia two weeks ago and blow out win against Ohio last week, but don’t read too much into the Georgia game, Kentucky is not a good team this year. If anything, I believe the Georgia Kentucky game will contribute to the Ole Miss covering the spread. Lane Kiffin isn’t a guy who takes his foot off the gas when up big in a game, and being the petty guy he is, would love to blowout a team the lost to #2 ranked Georgia by 1 singular point. This is Ole Miss’s first conference game of the season and will look to start off SEC play in dominate fashion, padding Jaxon Dart’s stats in process adding to those Heisman hopes.
Bobby’s Top 3
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 (-110) at the New York Giants.
The Dallas Cowboys are coming off of two straight embarrassing losses at home: a 44-19 loss to the New Orleans Saints and a 28-25 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. I have a rule when it comes to betting, a good team (and the Cowboys are a good team, you can’t tell me a solid QB with really good weapons and a talented defense are not a good team) will almost always cover the spread after an embarrassing loss, and this is double-time embarrassment for Dallas. The New York Giants are in a miserable position as a franchise, with a less than stellar starter at QB in Daniel Jones and impatient owner, this team is a disaster at the end of it all. The Cowboys talent alone can take them past the 5.5 point spread, but a Giants team coming off their first victory of the season will no doubt have a victory hangover in my mind, and this underperforming Cowboys team will be hungrier than ever to get in a win, in as devastating fashion as possible.
FSU vs. SMU Under 47.5 Points.
Let’s not complicate this or try to spare anyone’s feeling. FSU is awful. They suck. They are one of the toughest watches in college football this year and led by the ever-regressing DJ Uiagalelei, touchdowns have become a rare sight down in Tallahassee. In their first four games of the season, their points have gone like this: 21, 12, 13, 14. One word: abysmal. With their offense being the root cause of many of their problems, their opponents have been held to a maximum of 28 points. This season’s somewhat impressive defensive performances along with a struggling QB and a team with no identity, I’d say sell the car, put a second mortgage on the house, and bet the under for points in FSU versus SMU.
New England Patriots +10.5 (-110) at the San Francisco 49ers .
I have another rule when it comes to betting, especially NFL games: take a 10.5 point spread. Every. Single. Time. For those of you who don’t know, the general “blowout” point spread in 6.5 in the NFL, meaning if the odds makers think there is going to be a blowout game in the NFL, they’ll usually set the odds at the teaming winning by a touchdown. The 10.5 point spread is an incredible sight. The NFL is a crazy league, and the Patriots just got their behinds handed to them on Primetime with the Thursday Night Matchup against the New York Jets. They are a well coached team, with a solid defense and a growing identity of a tough, run it down your face team. The 49ers are heavily injured, and just lost to a NFC West rival in the Rams. As good as the 49ers are, they are a limbing giant. They still have the best possibility to win of course, but a 10.5 point spread is just too good to pass up in my eyes. It’s as close to free money as it gets in the gambling world.
